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Predication at I-CAR: Technology eliminates collisions?


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the technology is here already and I have no doubts that it will be common place in a decade or two. As cars of today age they soon will be scrap metal and likely not be around. I can't see anyone getting excited about restoring a car from this time period.

 

If the trend of high dollar components such as air bags and the like keeps rising. The insurance companies will probably push for crash avoidance as a standard feature, rather than the "air bag seperate policy" they've tried in the past.

 

And yes, the morons of the world will still have their time in drivers seat..LOL So..there's always a chance of some bent fenders.

 

My only question is... "Who are they marketing this technology too?" The hamburger flippers of the world are still going to be around, not every body is going to have the cash to purchase this technology. That is unless it becomes so cheap as they have done with the cel phone industry I just can't see it...but...it's going to happen whether we like it or not.

 

The reality of it all comes down to the "throw away" society issues. Will the cars of the 2050 era be throw away? WIll you even change a brake pad or just toss it aside for another ride? That's the real question.

 

Something to think about......................................................

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Erosion of the middle class and not the technology that will have the biggest impact on our business imo.

Look at all the people that postpone major safety repairs and decline maintenance on both their cars and homes. Is it because they don't know or see that it's a necessity, no, most likely it's because they are in debt up to their noses and have other bills to pay.

Technology is moving faster and faster every minute, there is no stopping it. The only question, who is going to be able to afford the latest and greatest.

I suspect that some of the cars by 2050 will be an absolute technological marvel but most of the population will be either riding buses or other public transportation. The rest 10-15% will be either driving a trowaway car or maybe even sharing a car as a service rather than item they own.

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I suspect that some of the cars by 2050 will be an absolute technological marvel but most of the population will be either riding buses or other public transportation. The rest 10-15% will be either driving a trowaway car or maybe even sharing a car as a service rather than item they own.

 

Well said, Mike. I always look at Europe to see where our country is headed on various issues. Europe is dominated by trains, buses, and subways. I see no reason why our major cities will not be the same way in 35 years.

 

In regards to technology costs, look at how far we have come in just 10-20 years. Previously, cell phones and GPS satellite tracking were a military-only option. Well, military-only OR pay and arm and a leg for it. Now, everyone with a smart phone has tracking down to 3 meters for around $100/mo and can call anyone on the planet from wherever they are in America. Plus a TON of other incredible features. That is mind-boggling to me!! This is technology that went from 1% of the population to over 90% of the population in 10-20 quick years.

 

I see no reason why vehicles will not continue this trend. Sure, driverless vehicles are cost-prohibitive now and fairly untested. However, given 35 years and the exponential speed of technological innovation, I see no reason to argue this prediction.

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  • Have you checked out Joe's Latest Blog?

         5 comments
      I recently spoke with a friend of mine who owns a large general repair shop in the Midwest. His father founded the business in 1975. He was telling me that although he’s busy, he’s also very frustrated. When I probed him more about his frustrations, he said that it’s hard to find qualified technicians. My friend employs four technicians and is looking to hire two more. I then asked him, “How long does a technician last working for you.” He looked puzzled and replied, “I never really thought about that, but I can tell that except for one tech, most technicians don’t last working for me longer than a few years.”
      Judging from personal experience as a shop owner and from what I know about the auto repair industry, I can tell you that other than a few exceptions, the turnover rate for technicians in our industry is too high. This makes me think, do we have a technician shortage or a retention problem? Have we done the best we can over the decades to provide great pay plans, benefits packages, great work environments, and the right culture to ensure that the techs we have stay with us?
      Finding and hiring qualified automotive technicians is not a new phenomenon. This problem has been around for as long as I can remember. While we do need to attract people to our industry and provide the necessary training and mentorship, we also need to focus on retention. Having a revolving door and needing to hire techs every few years or so costs your company money. Big money! And that revolving door may be a sign of an even bigger issue: poor leadership, and poor employee management skills.
      Here’s one more thing to consider, for the most part, technicians don’t leave one job to start a new career, they leave one shop as a technician to become a technician at another shop. The reasons why they leave can be debated, but there is one fact that we cannot deny, people don’t quit the company they work for, they usually leave because of the boss or manager they work for.
      Put yourselves in the shoes of your employees. Do you have a workplace that communicates, “We appreciate you and want you to stay!”
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